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07 Feb - EUR/JPY Trade

Good afternoon all on what is proving to be a very quiet asian session.

As things are so quiet I thought I would jot down today's trade as announced on the Yahoo service, where I see it going and why I took it.

The trade is a short on the EUR/JPY, so let's look at why I took it, first the current 4H chart:

EUR/JPY 4H

Here you can see a strong upward channel that prices were trading inside since the 12th of January, and highlighted in yellow the recent break out of that channel hinting the momentum has shifted. In green are median lines, or Andrew's Pitchforks, drawn of the recent swing high and low pivots which show a project sideways action. The upper and lower lines are project range support and resistance areas, as well as the middle median line.

Now to get a closer look, the 1H chart:

EUR/JPY 1H

You can see this morning prices re-tested that median line and paused yet again, I took this as confirmation that it will hold and we are heading down to the bottom median parallel around 141.65 and went short after the last inverted hammer at 142.44. Due to my risk management currently, I need to trade this with a tight stop, so I run the risk of being stopped out from a market wiggle, but the set-up for me is a good one, we will wait and see how it plays out through Europe.

Happy trading!

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Posted by Anonymous Anonymous:
Tuesday, February 07, 2006 4:14:00 PM

Nice Setup.

You mention of a tight risk management strategy.

How tight are you going to place it and how are you going to determine what that stop loss price will be?    



Posted by Blogger Akuma99:
Tuesday, February 07, 2006 5:21:00 PM

Hi george, good point, I didn't list my stop losses, although they can always be found here. I have placed mine just above the previously established support at 142.58, which if things pan out as I am anticipating should be sufficient, however market openings can always throw in the odd spike and wiggle me out with positions like this, but that is something I have to accept currently. If price moves there and stays there, then my setup is no longer valid and I am out of that trade ready for the next one.

Thanks for asking about that one :)    



Posted by Anonymous Anonymous:
Tuesday, February 07, 2006 6:55:00 PM

Good call, Akuma. How often do you post your analysis?    



Posted by Anonymous Anonymous:
Tuesday, February 07, 2006 8:55:00 PM

Yes, that's for sure was a great call, btw where can I find more info about Andrew's Pitchforks.thanks a lot.    



Posted by Anonymous Anonymous:
Tuesday, February 07, 2006 9:45:00 PM

Maybe Akuma can give a lesson about Andrew's Pitchforks. :)    



Posted by Blogger Akuma99:
Wednesday, February 08, 2006 8:31:00 AM

I only post analysis like this now and then when things are quiet, which recently has not been too often ;).

Looks like I will have to do a theory article on median lines :)    



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